Run Estimation

Links to the numerous ways to estimate runs created for players and teams. 

 Clay Davenport
-About EqA - EqA explained by its creator

Jim Furtado
-Methods and Accuracy in Run Estimation Tools (1999) - The accuracy of the run estimators
-Why Do We Need Another Player Evaluation Method (1999)
-Introducing XR (1999) - Extrapolated Runs 
-Deciphering the New Runs Created (1999)- With G. Jay Walker and Don Malcolm

Bill Gilbert
-Measuring Offense: BPA (1997) - Bases per Plate Appearance

Mike Gimbel
-Run Production Average (1994)

Justin Inaz
-Player Value, Part 2a: Offense - Run Estimation (2007) - An intro to run estimation

Paul Johnson
-Estimated Runs Produced (1985) - From the 1985 Bill James Abstract

Patriot
-Accuracy - Another look at accuracy
-Appraised Runs
-A Promising New Run Estimator: Base Runs -David Smyth’s Base Runs
-Base Runs
-Equivalent Runs - Clay Davenport’s Equivalent Runs
-Linear Weights
-Runs Created - Bill James’ famous stat

Gary R. Skoog
-Measuring Runs Created: The Value Added Approach (1987) - From the 87 Abstract

David Smyth
-The Base Runs/Base Wins System

Tom Tango
-How Runs Are Really Created - Tango’s series on run estimation
-How Are Runs Really Created, Second Installment
-How Are Runs Really Created, Third Installment
-OPS: Be Gone!
-OPS: Be Gone!, Part 2
-Linear Weights by Men On Base

-Keith Woolner
-Marginal Lineup Value - David Tate’s MLV