Winning Percentage Estimation

Links to articles on Bill James’ Pythagorean expectation, Pythagenpat, Pythagenport and related topics.

Sal Baxamusa
-Outsmarting Pythagoras (2007)

Clay Davenport
-Revisiting The Pythagorean Theorem (1999) - With Keith Woolner

David Gassko
-Pondering Pythagoras (2007)

Bill James
-Future Expectation for Over-performing Teams* (2007)

Steven J. Miller
-A Derivation of the Pythagorean Won-Loss Record in Baseball*

Patriot
-Winning% Estimators

Pizza Cutter
-The Cleveland Indians and Pythagoras (2007)
-What do Pythagorean residuals really measure? (2007)

Matt Souders
-Game Averaged Pythagenpat (2007)
-PythagenMATT GameTracker (2007)

Tom Tango
-The Fallacy of Pythagorean (2007) - Discussion of Souders’ method and the topic in general
-Runs to Wins Converters, Part 1
-Runs to Wins Converters, Part 2
-Runs to Wins Converters, Part 3

Keith Woolner
-Expected vs. Actual Wins (2001)

*PDF file